Journal article
On the attribution of the impacts of extreme weather events to anthropogenic climate change
SE Perkins-Kirkpatrick, DA Stone, DM Mitchell, S Rosier, AD King, YTE Lo, J Pastor-Paz, D Frame, M Wehner
Environmental Research Letters | Published : 2022
Abstract
Investigations into the role of anthropogenic climate change in extreme weather events are now starting to extend into analysis of anthropogenic impacts on non-climate (e.g. socio-economic) systems. However, care needs to be taken when making this extension, because methodological choices regarding extreme weather attribution can become crucial when considering the events' impacts. The fraction of attributable risk (FAR) method, useful in extreme weather attribution research, has a very specific interpretation concerning a class of events, and there is potential to misinterpret results from weather event analyses as being applicable to specific events and their impact outcomes. Using two cas..
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Grants
Awarded by Biological and Environmental Research
Funding Acknowledgements
S E P-K is supported by Australian Research Council Grant Numbers FT170100106 and CE170100023. Y T E Lo was supported by the NERC Grant HAPPI-Health (NE/R009554/1). A D K is supported by Australian Research Council Grant Number DE180100638. D A S, S M R, and D J F are supported by the Whakahura project, funded through the Endeavour programme of the Ministry of Business, Innovation, and Employment of Aoteaora New Zealand. D M M acknowledges support from his NERC independent fellowship (NE/N014057/1) and Turing Institute fellowship. MFW is supported by the Director, Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research of the US Department of Energy under Contract No. DE340AC02-05CH11231. We also acknowledge an anonymous reviewer how provided invaluable guidance in understanding the underlying assumptions of our analyses.